Making trading simple actually makes it easier to profit: ET trader Mr. Sun on “simple trading”

For Sun Jingpeng, when it comes to trading, the simpler the better.

Rather than continually adding technical indicators and seeking more complex trading strategies, he is more accustomed to starting with the daily and 4-hour charts, first determining the market's overall direction, and then looking for suitable entry opportunities.

In his view, sometimes the more complex the method, the easier it is to hesitate when actually making a judgment.

The seemingly simple trading approach Sun Jingpeng uses today has also gone through profits, drawdowns, and repeated adjustments.

After trading for a period of time, Sun Jingpeng increasingly realized that knowing how to trade is only the first step; the real difficulty is applying his own judgment to every trade.

First look at the direction, then decide what to do.

When trading normally, Sun Jingpeng mainly watches the daily and 4-hour charts.

His logic is not complicated: first determine the direction for the day and for larger time frames, then decide whether to enter.

If the daily chart is in an uptrend, he usually will not easily short against the trend; if the market direction is unclear, he will be even more cautious.

Compared with short-time-frame indicators such as the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, he pays more attention to the trends of larger time frames.

The reason is also very direct.

Short time frames change relatively quickly, and indicators are prone to changing with market fluctuations, while the direction formed by the 4-hour and daily charts is relatively stable and more suitable for judging the overall trend.

Candlestick charts are his main reference tool, while MACD is more of an auxiliary. "The trading idea must be simple, not too complex."

This is a sentence Sun Jingpeng mentioned repeatedly.

In his view, if too many indicators are added at the same time, different indicators may conflict with one another, ultimately making judgment more difficult. Rather than getting himself caught up in complex analysis, it is better to first clearly determine the most important direction.

A simple strategy does not mean it will be profitable every time.

Of course, a simple trading method does not mean trading will always go smoothly.

Sun Jingpeng's account went through a period of relatively obvious fluctuations: it began with small profits, then entered a stage of repeated ups and downs, and only after the market showed a relatively clear direction did his trading condition gradually improve.

He is also very clear about the reason. His strategy is more suitable for markets with a clear direction.

When neither the daily nor the 4-hour chart has formed a clear direction, the market itself is prone to repeated fluctuations; at such times, even if he enters according to his original strategy, it is difficult to achieve sustained profits.

This is also a rather realistic aspect of trading: no strategy can adapt to all market conditions.

Rather than forcing himself to find a method that can handle all market environments, it is better to first know what kind of market conditions his strategy suits and reduce unnecessary trades when the direction is unclear.

Trend-following trading is not predicting the market.

In the interview, Sun Jingpeng also shared several specific trading judgments.

For example, in a market move with an obvious lower shadow, he believed that after the price quickly dropped and then was pulled back up, it indicated that there might be support below.

After that, the price pulled back again, and he then observed whether it could continue upward.

But even so, he would not assume that the market would definitely develop according to his judgment.

In his view, such a judgment may only have a 70% to 80% probability of being correct.

The market may still be affected by other factors and ultimately move in a completely different direction.

Therefore, trend-following trading is not about predicting in advance exactly how the market will move, but about continuously validating one's judgment based on the candlestick charts and price changes that have already appeared.

If the upward momentum is insufficient and the price weakens again, then the original direction also needs to be reconsidered.

Trading is not about proving oneself right, but about continuously revising one's judgment according to market changes.

What is truly difficult is strictly executing one's own method.

Compared with the trading strategy itself, Sun Jingpeng believes that another more easily overlooked issue is execution.

When he traded on his own in the past, he actually knew the importance of stop loss and was also accustomed to setting stop losses.

But when actually facing the market, especially when emotions run high, it is not easy to execute 100%.

Knowing about stop loss and being able to strictly execute stop loss are two different things.

This is also a relatively obvious feeling he had after joining ET proprietary trading.

During trading at ET, risk control rules impose clear constraints on trading behavior.

When the account approaches the corresponding risk limit, traders can no longer adjust arbitrarily as they could when trading on their own.

This constraint instead made Sun Jingpeng even more cautious. “Since you have risk control watching right here, you can't exceed a certain limit.”

For him, strict risk control was not simply about adding restrictions, but about turning trading behavior that had previously been easily influenced by emotions into discipline that must be enforced.

Another change came from trading psychology. When trading with his own capital, especially when the amount of capital was relatively large, the psychological pressure brought by profit and loss could easily affect trading decisions.

Sometimes a strategy that had been properly formulated could change in execution when he actually faced his own funds.

In a proprietary trading environment, however, because the capital and risk control mechanisms are different, traders can instead focus more attention on the strategy itself and on rule execution.

This also made Sun Jingpeng realize that trading ability is not just about “whether one can analyze market conditions”; it also includes whether one can maintain discipline in actual trading.

Having experienced losses, he also once thought about giving up

Of course, trading is not always a smooth path. Facing repeated losses and account fluctuations, Sun Jingpeng also once thought about giving up.

But after time, energy, and capital had already been invested, he still chose to keep going.

Perhaps this is also a stage that many traders go through: when ideal results have not been achieved for a long time, they still need to re-examine their methods and adjust their state.

For Sun Jingpeng, trading did not become increasingly complex in the end.

Instead, after experiencing fluctuations, he became increasingly clear about what he needed—see the direction clearly, follow the market, control risk, and then execute as simply as possible.

The market will never run entirely according to a trader's expectations. What one can do is respect the signals the market gives and also respect the rules one has set.

This is perhaps Sun Jingpeng's most direct understanding of “simple trading” after continuous trading.